Imperial Holdings $IFT: The hard money's been made

Imperial (IFT) 1 Response »
May 172013

It’s no secret that one of my favorite investors to follow is Bulldog and the Special Opportunities Fund (SPE). So when their founder was elected chairman of the board of Imperial Holdings (IFT), I took notice. In the past few weeks, they’ve had several significant developments that have caused the price of the stock to skyrocket. However, I think the developments have taken almost all of the risk of the table, and a deep dive into the financials reveals potential for significant margin of safety. I’ve published an article on Imperial over on seeking alpha which is now live for all viewers. Here’s a quote to whet your appetite:

I think the first reason to suspect that the company is worth more than $6 is simply because the chairman told us so. Here’s a quote in Imperial from his fund’s semi-annual letter last year:

“We think Imperial’s intrinsic value is at least $8 per share. However, there is plenty of risk and there are big problems to be resolved – including the shareholder lawsuits, the SEC investigation, Imperial’s inability to file timely audited financial statements for 2011, securing the resources to continue to pay the premiums on its valuable life insurance policies, and establishing their validity.”

Disclosure: Long SPE preferreds, IFT

Posted by Whopper at 11:25 am

Taking advantage of $EBIX volatility

EBIX (EBIX) 2 Responses »
May 142013

An upfront warning: this is much different than my normal investment wheelhouse. Options involve risk of serious loss. Do your own diligence, etc.

Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 11:44 pm

Whistler Blackcomb $WB and the curious case of minority interest

Uncategorized 12 Responses »
May 142013

Yesterday, I put up a post on Winland (WELX) that accidentally put the ticker as “WEXL” instead of “WELX.” Of course, this was a mistake on my part. But it got me thinking about a post I’ve been meaning to put up for a while on the importance of doing your own research and thinking for yourself. Please note that this post is meant to be instructive, so please be sure to read the whole thing before commenting. Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 12:13 am

Winland $WEXL : new activists set to unlock big value

Winland (WEX), Winland (WEX) 7 Responses »
May 132013

When the facts change, I change my mind

Two months ago, I posted about a potential “forced selling” opportunity in Winland (WEXL). I also noted that I had not taken a position in the stock. Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 11:59 am

$HMNC : does the risk outweigh the 5x return potential?

Hondo Minerals (HMNC) 5 Responses »
May 122013

Hondo Minerals (HMNC) is an interesting situation. It seems like a potential 5 bagger within a year or so, but my red flag alerts keep going off. So I’ve decided to pass, but just because I’m passing doesn’t mean it won’t be interesting for some readers! Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 10:58 pm

KSE raises $OUTD bid; is the end near?

Outdoor (OUTD) 5 Responses »
May 082013

It’s been almost a week since I’ve updated the Outdoor bidding war, so it’s time to provide an update! For a quick background, in my last post KSE had just received a $9.35 bid from KSE. I predicted the Intermedia would raise their bid to $9.75 after market close the next day; unfortunately, I was way off: Intermedia raised their bid to $9.75 the next morning. Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 10:56 pm

$TBAC is in desperate need of a takeover

Tandy Brands (TBAC) 3 Responses »
May 082013

In what’s become something of an annual tradition, this week I once again investigated an investment in Tandy Brands (TBAC). This time, however, I broke tradition and ended up buying a few shares. This post will discuss why I think an investment is cheap at today’s prices, but it all basically boils down to this: how much worse can things possibly get? Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 5:00 am

What are you waiting for? Start a blog!

Uncategorized 7 Responses »
May 062013

Aside from net-net investments, perhaps the one theme I have discussed the most on this blog is how to become a better investor. Many people will say the way to do so is to start reading annual reports and investing your own money. And I have no qualms with them. But the true secret is that you need a process for assessing how good your investment process is. You want to separate out skill from luck. And there’s one simple way to do that: start a blog.

Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 7:00 am

$EBIX merger arb: does the risk outweigh the reward

EBIX (EBIX), Uncategorized 2 Responses »
May 032013

EBIX is something of a battleground stock. It’s been bashed by short-sellers who have questioned it’s accounting methods and tax treatment. Some of the short sellers have also called it a “house of cards.” At the same time, some value investors have been absolutely enthralled by the stock. It was, by far, the most mentioned stock in my “call for investment ideas.”

Continue reading »

Posted by Whopper at 7:00 am

$OUTD receives higher bid from KSE, ball in Intermedia's court

Outdoor (OUTD) 10 Responses »
May 022013

A quick update: after market close today, Outdoor announced that they had received a higher bid from KSE. The new bid is for $9.35 and tops Intermedia’s bid of $9.15. So far, the situation is playing out just like I wrote up in my last post. The ball is in Intermedia’s court now. I think they make a bid for $9.75-9.85 per share after market close tomorrow (maybe Monday morning). I’d be pleasantly surprised if KSE made another bid over that- I wouldn’t completely rule it out and I think Intermedia would probably come over the top of that bid as well, but I think by Monday Intermedia is the winning bidder and shareholders are looking at a payout just under the $10 range. Anything over that is pure gravy.

Disclosure- Long OUTD

Posted by Whopper at 11:22 pm
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